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Text Elements

Point Estimate:

A statistic ( from sample ! ) that gives a reasonable estimation for the true population parameter

Confidence Interval: Every confidence interval for everything ever: Point Estimate +- margin of error

Interpret

Level - If we take many many samples & make a confidence interval for each, about _____ of them will capture the true Population Context ( e.g. green beads in the jar ) Interval - We are ____ confident that the interval from ____ to ____ captures the true ________ .

%

%

A

B

pop context

higher confidence level = higher margin of error ( wider interval )

higher sample size ( n ) = lower margin of error ( more narrow width )

Margin of Error DOES acccount for sample variability. she thinks it should be called a margin of variability

Margin of Error does NOT account for: - Nonresponse - undercoverage - response bias